Retail Sales Drop More Than Expected in January, Plunging 0.9%

CNBC
Retail sales slumped 0.9% in January, down much more than expected

Retail sales slipped 0.9% for the month from an upwardly revised 0.7% gain in December, even worse than the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.2% decline. The sales totals are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation for a month, in which prices rose 0.5%. Excluding autos, prices fell 0.4%, also well off the consensus forecast for a 0.3% increase. A “control” measure that strips out several nonessential categories and figures directly into calculations for gross domestic product fell 0.8% after an upwardly revised increase of 0.8%. With consumer spending making up about two-thirds of all economic activity in the U.S., the sales numbers indicate a potential weakening in growth for the first quarter.

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CNBC
AP NEWS
US retail sales plunged along with temperatures in January after a bustling holiday season

U.S. retail sales dropped sharply last month, in part because cold weather kept more Americans indoors, denting sales at car dealers and most other stores. Retail sales fell 0.9% in January from the previous month, the Commerce Department said, after two months of healthy gains. It was a much bigger drop than economists expected and the biggest decline in a year. The average temperature in January was the lowest since 1988, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics, and was particularly disruptive in the more temperate South. Devastating fires in Los Angeles may have also impacted spending.

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AP NEWS
Barrons
January Retail Sales Slide 0.9% as Consumers Tighten Their Belts

Consumers kicked off 2025 with a more prudent approach to spending, with retail sales for January falling from a month prior. Yet while the report was a bad one, there’s no need to panic about the broader state of the consumer economy, economists said. The Census Bureau said Friday that retail sales slid 0.9% in January from December. Projections had them being largely unchanged, or down 0.05%, according to FactSet. Sales rose 4.2% on an annual basis.

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News Results

US retail sales plunged last month as consumers pulled back after busy holiday season
Retail sales dropped 0.9% in January from the previous month, the Commerce Department said. January's average temperature was the lowest since 1988. Devastating fires in Los Angeles may have also impacted spending. Still, hiring and wage growth have been steady, suggesting the economy is still expanding.
US Dollar loses interest after weak Retail Sales figures
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the US Dollar’s performance against six major currencies, remains stable after posting losses in the previous session.
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Retail sales slump. Wildfires, cold snap and post-holiday blues depress spending.
Consumers took a breather from holiday shopping season and a severe cold snap in the U.S. kept people indoors
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Retail sales post largest drop in nearly two years in January amid tariff uncertainty
US retail sales dropped by the most in nearly two years in January. Economists speculate that rising prices and uncertain economic outlook are forcing consumers to tighten their purse strings. Pre-emptive buying in anticipation of tariffs that would raise prices for goods helped to boost retail sales in recent months.
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Retail sales see biggest drop in a year to start 2025
Retail sales declined more than expected in January after several strong months of gains to end 2024.
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US retail sales post biggest drop in nearly two years amid winter freeze
U.S. retail sales dropped by the most in nearly two years in January, likely weighed down by frigid temperatures, wildfires and motor vehicle shortages, suggesting a sharp slowdown in economic growth early in the first quarter.
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Economic News Has Started Catching Up To Sentiment
The talk started in earnest in the fall of 2023, although even then there were signs of potential long-term disturbance. By January 2025, worries about inflation (because all the previous high inflation had accumulated without equivalent boosts in the incomes of most) started to raise the question of whether the soft landing was still possible.
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Retail Sales Fell in May But Core Sales Were Unexpectedly Strong
The Commerce Department reported Tuesday that retail and food service sales declined 0.9 percent in May from the previous month. The decline in May headline sales was driven primarily by a 3.5 percent plunge in motor vehicle and parts sales. But a closer look at the data shows continued strength in several core spending categories.
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Retail Sales Face Key Tariff Test: How Could Markets React To Weaker Spending? - SPDR Select Sector Fund - Consumer Discretionary (ARCA:XLY), SPDR Select Sector Fund - Technology (ARCA:XLK)
May retail sales expected to fall 0.7%, marking second monthly decline of 2025. Monthly declines in retail sales have been rare over the past two years. A fresh pullback could signal that deeper cracks are forming in the U.S. consumer landscape. The median Wall Street economist expects the Bureau of Economic Analysis to report a 0.8% decline.
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Breitbart Business Digest: Consumers Say They’re Worried—But the Economy Isn’t Listening
Consumer confidence is down, business leaders are worried, and headlines are awash in recession fears. Yet actual economic data stubbornly refuse to cooperate with this gloomy narrative. Tuesday’s Conference Board consumer confidence reading plunged sharply to 95.7 in March, down from 101.0 in February, marking its lowest level since last summer.
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Retail Sales Disappoint In February, Despite Major Downward Revisions
February retail sales disappoint, rising just 0.2% MoM vs +0.6% exp. Food Services & Gas Stations saw the biggest drop in nominal sales. Non-store retailers (online) saw sales soar the most. On a non-seasonally-adjusted basis, retail sales are actually down YoY.
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Tariff threats and uncertainty could weigh on consumers, drag down US economy, gov't report suggests
Americans cut their spending by 0.2% in January from the previous month, the Commerce Department says. The retreat may be hinting at more caution by consumers amid rising economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve's Atlanta branch projects the economy will shrink 1.5% in the January-March quarter.
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