NASA Says 'City Killer' Asteroid Now Has 3.1% Probability of Impact, Becoming Most Dangerous Known Near-Earth Object

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NASA says 'City killer' asteroid now has 3.1% chance of hitting Earth

"I'm not panicking," Bruce Betts, chief scientist for the nonprofit Planetary Society told AFP. "Naturally when you see the percentages go up, it doesn't make you feel warm and fuzzy and good," he added, But as astronomers gather more data, he explained, the probability will likely edge up before rapidly dropping to zero.

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France24

Chance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports

The probability that a major asteroid, big enough to wipe out an entire city, will hit Earth in 2032 has just increased to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, according to NASA. On Feb. 7, NASA increased the likelihood that asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit Earth in seven years time from 1.2% to 2.3%. The odds of impact then climbed to 2.6%, and are now at 3.1%, according to the latest data on NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies website.

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LiveScience

NASA Ups Its Odds of Massive Asteroid Hitting Earth

Astronomers have been calculating the likelihood of the asteroid hitting Earth with greater precision as they gather more data. It is estimated as being anywhere from 131 feet to 295 feet wide, with the potential of releasing the energy equivalent to almost 8 megatons of TNT, or 500 times the power of the atomic bomb the United States dropped on Hiroshima, Japan, during World War II, if it and the Earth collide.

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Newsmax

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‘City killer’ asteroid now has 3.1% chance of hitting Earth: NASA

An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released Tuesday -- making it the most threatening space

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2d ago

NASA says odds of massive asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth are growing

No other known large asteroids have an impact probability above 1%.

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2d ago

Odds of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth just went up again, reaching new high - National

The asteroid, big enough to wipe out an entire city, now has a higher chance of smashing into our home planet in 2032. On Feb. 7, experts at NASA had bumped up the odds to a one-in-43 chance, but the probability just keeps rising. This is the highest risk assessment an asteroid has ever received.

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2d ago

Chance of ‘city-killer’ asteroid 2024YR4 hitting Earth rises again, Nasa says

Chance of ‘city-killer’ asteroid 2024YR4 hitting Earth rises AGAIN to 1-in-38, Nasa says. 100m people in ‘risk zone’ if impact does happen, it puts more than 100 million people in a risk corridor.

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2d ago

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Why China's Planetary Defense Enabled Over 'City Killer'

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has increased its collision probability from 1.3% to 2.2%. China has pledged to set up its "Planetary Defense Force" to prevent the asteroid from hitting the planet. The United Nations' Space Mission Planning Advisory Group is now monitoring the asteroid.

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2d ago

NASA issues update on "city-killer" asteroid's chances of hitting Earth

Previously space agencies had said there was a 2.2 percent chance of impact, but that changes to the prediction would occur as the asteroid nears the planet. The YR4 asteroid is currently the most dangerous space object near Earth, according to NASA. Its impact on the planet would have the same power as a nuclear bomb.

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2d ago

The odds of the ‘city-killing’ asteroid hitting Earth just went up

The space agency claims that the dangerous space rock now has a 1-in-38, or 2.6%, chance of hitting home. Meanwhile, the European Space Agency’s odds are slightly lower at around 2.4%.Since late January, NASA has designated YR4 a level three on the Torino Scale — a standard rubric for the danger of NEOs.

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2d ago

Asteroid impact risk raised as NASA eyes 'city-killer' blast zone home to 100m

Asteroid 2024YR4 is travelling at 38,028 miles per hour through the Milky Way. NASA has warned that 100 million people live in the "risk doze" of the impending disaster. The massive space object is around 40 to 90 metres long and currently heading away from Earth, but is expected to loop around and head back towards the planet.

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2d ago

SO YOU'RE SAYING THERE'S A CHANCE: NASA rapidly recalculating likelihood of asteroid colliding with Earth

An asteroid hurtling toward Earth has an increasing probability of making an impact on December 22, 2032, according to continuous updates published by NASA.

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2d ago

NASA increases the chance of 'city-destroying' asteroid hitting Earth

The space agency predicts that the asteroid 2024 YR4 has a one-in-38, or 2.6 per cent, chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Those are the same odds as having your number come up on a spin of a standard American roulette wheel. The asteroid has an estimated diameter of 54 metres (177ft), or a little taller than Nelson's Column in Trafalgar Square.

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2d ago

NASA Warns of 'City-Killer' Asteroid With Highest-Ever Odds of Striking Earth

Asteroid 2024 YR4 could level a large city

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2d ago

NASA Says Odds of Devastating Asteroid Striking Earth in 2032 Now Greater Than Winning a Game of Roulette

The chances of an asteroid that is projected to pass near Earth in 2032 actually colliding with the planet has been upped to 3.1%. That is about a one in 32 chance. The chance of winning American roulette is about one in 38, or about a 2.7% chance.

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2d ago