It’s currently unclear where it will fall, or if the space junk will burn up before impact, but as Langbroek notes in his blog: “this is a lander that was designed to survive passage through the Venus atmosphere,” the surface of which sits at an average of 867 degrees Fahrenheit (464 degrees Celsius), so there’s a chance it will survive reentry. The descent will also be uncontrolled, as there are significant doubts that the lander’s parachute deployment system will still work after all these years. The real-world likelihood of actually being hit by Kosmos 482 is astronomically slim. “The risk is similar to that of a random meteorite fall, several of which happen each year,” Langbroek told The Guardian. “You run a bigger risk of getting hit by lightning in your lifetime.”

A Soviet-era spacecraft meant to land on Venus in the 1970s is expected to soon plunge uncontrolled back to Earth. It’s too early to know where the half-ton mass of metal might come down or how much of it will survive reentry, according to space debris-tracking experts. Dutch scientist Marco Langbroek predicts the failed spacecraft will reenter around May 10. He estimates it will come crashing in at 150 mph (242 kph), if it remains intact. “While not without risk, we should not be too worried,” Langbroek said in an email.

It’s not just asteroids that are threatening to rock our world. A defunct Soviet satellite is slated to hurtle back to Earth next week, prompting concerns from space experts that we could potentially be in the line of fire. The unit “might well survive Earth atmosphere entry and hit the ground,” warned British-American astronomer Jonathan McDowell in a blog post. “In which case, I expect it’ll have the usual one-in-several-thousand chance of hitting someone.” Launched in March 1972 by the USSR, the Kosmos 482 probe was dispatched to gather data from Venus’ inhospitable surface, Livescience reported. However, due to a malfunction with one of the rocket boosters, the intergalactic recon machine was left stranded in Earth’s orbit — literally spiraling out of control. The dead spacecraft — which is around the size of a car — is now on track for reentry sometime between May 7 and 13, give or take a few days.